Thursday, October 30, 2008

Exclusive: Bestselling “Climate Confusion” author talks with Chilling Effect!

Continued...

TCE: Is it because of these natural cycles that we’re seeing reports of record cold temps in parts of California, Oregon and other states and why glaciers are growing in Alaska?

Spencer: Well, I think that is indeed possible. And our latest research supports what some meteorologists have been saying for a long time…that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) might actually be the main culprit in climate change. We have recently used a simple climate model to show how the PDO can, by itself, reproduce most of the temperature behavior over the last century, including two-thirds of the warming, simply through the PDO’s modulation of global average cloudiness. And why do I think the PDO affects global cloudiness? Because we have the satellite observations to prove it.

The recent cooling we have seen might be evidence that we have entered into a new, negative phase of the PDO. If so, we could be in for 30 more years of no warming, or even some cooling, a gradual return of more extensive sea ice in the Arctic, and glaciers that start growing again.

TCE: Your book ‘Climate Confusion’ made the New York Times bestseller list several months ago. Do you think your message is getting through?

Spencer: Yes, I do. I find that many of our citizens – possibly a majority — are quite distrustful of the claim that global warming is mostly the fault of mankind. And our latest work supports their gut instinct. But despite two published papers we have out there supporting our view that the IPCC has overestimated climate sensitivity, the public is largely unaware of our work because the mainstream media refuses to report on anything that contradicts Al Gore, James Hansen, and the IPCC. So, instead, I now have to take my message directly to the people. I’m giving more lectures, as many as 3 per week, including at10 different colleges and universities this fall.

TCE: How’s the response?

Spencer: It’s been very good so far. Most students are interested to hear that there are a few scientists out there who don’t believe in a man-made global warming Armageddon. I do get the occasional emotional and irrational folks who don’t seem to want to hear any good news, but for the most part everyone seems eager to hear another point of view. Those who disagree seem to be immune to evidence…their faith in Gore’s and Hansen’s new religion blinds them to everything else. Their desire to substantially reduce our carbon dioxide emissions has ignored that fact that, until some new energy technology is developed, we are stuck with fossil fuels as our primary energy source…probably for decades. Yet I still get questions like, “But we can’t continue to pump CO2 into the atmosphere forever, can we?” Well obviously, no, and we won’t. But the new technology we need to reduce CO2 emissions by, say, 50% does not exist, and cannot be simply legislated into existence.Continued...

"I have to read this book. This is my first time to come across this new theory."

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